Warm up Today, Snow possible Thursday

Blog Overview:  Here is the first of many blog posts to come and the format of the posts will start off with Current Conditions then lead into the forecast discussion for the next several days.  Finally, a days at a glance section will be at the bottom giving an idea of the days to come.  Any wording that is difficult to understand will be linked for easy understanding.  Enjoy! 

Current Conditions:
Hello everyone!  As 2014 begins, colder temperatures will be creeping back in.  In the upper part of the atmosphere over our area, we have a lack of moisture which will provide mostly sunny skies to occur today.  Warm air is being advected into our area from the Gulf of Mexico providing the warmer temperatures today.  At the surface, a surface low is centered over the panhandle of Texas which will be moving our way tomorrow.  The low this morning was 21 degrees and the current temperature as of 12:26 P.M. CDT is 47 under mostly sunny skies.  Winds are out of the south at 7 mph.

 

Forecast Discussion:

For the rest of today into tonight, winds will continue out of the south at 5 mph.  Tonight expect a low of 43 degrees under mostly cloudy skies.  The low pressure system out west will continue to push our way will set the stage for possible snow in our area tomorrow.  For tomorrow, the models are showing precipitation moving into our area at 6:00 A.M. CDT.  The freezing line is off to our northwest around Stewart County.  Any precipitation that falls around 6:00 A.M. CDT will be rain with some snow mixed in.  By 9:00 A.M. CDT, the feezing line is over us which means any precipitation that falls will be snow.  Depending on how much moisture is left over once the freezing line moves over our area depends on how much snow we will see.  Since the high today will be 51, this will heat up the ground surfaces.  When the snow starts falling tomorrow, it will stick to mainly grassy surfaces, trees, vehicles, and rooftops.  Road surfaces will be warm, so it will take a while before snow starts sticking.  With all this in mind, I expect up to 0.50" of accumulation for Cheatham.  What about school?  As it stands right now, everyone should plan for a normal school day tomorrow.  However, this is a developing situation and things could change very quickly.  The National Weather Service Office in Nashville has issued a Special Weather Statement that can be found here.  If you do have to travel tomorrow, snow covered roadways will become hazardous.  Secondary roads will become covered faster than main roadways.  Here is the latest from the NWS Office in Nashville on Tomorrow's snow:

For the remainder of Thursday, the low pressure system will quickly move off to the east and bring very cold temperatures to our area.  Winds will turn out of the NW.  Friday, high pressure will move in causing winds to continue out of the North making it feel very cold.  High pressure will be the controlling factor on Saturday as well.  Saturday night into Sunday morning, I am keeping my eye on our next system that will be moving in Sunday Morning which could end in some Wintry Precipitation Sunday Night into Monday morning.  More on this as the time gets closer.  

Tonight:  Expect a low temperature of 43 degrees around Midnight under mostly cloudy skies.  Winds will be out of the south at 5 mph.  No chance of precipitation.

Thursday:  Start out with a temperature of 41 degrees under mostly cloudy skies.  Winds out of the south becoming northwest at 16 mph.  Cold front pushes through bringing with it rain changing to snow around 9:00 A.M. CDT.  Possible accumulation of 0.50".  Chance of precipitation is 90%.  

Thursday Night:  Low will be around 19 degrees under mostly clear skies.  Winds out of the northwest at 15 mph.  No chance of precipitation.  

Friday:  Expect a high of 30 degrees under mostly sunny skies.  Winds out of the north at 5-10 mph.   No chance of precipitation.

 

Friday Night:  Expect a low of 22 degrees under mostly clear skies.  Winds out of the southeast at 5 mph.  No chance of precipitation. 

Saturday:  Expect a high of 45 degrees under mostly sunny skies.  Winds out of the south at 5-10 mph.  No chance of precipitation.

Saturday Night:  Low will be 37 degrees under mostly cloudy skies.  Winds will be south at 10 mph.  No chance of precipitation.

Sunday:  Expect a high of 44 degrees under mostly cloudy skies.  Winds will be out of the south at 10 mph becoming northwest.  Rain in the morning with a possible change over to snow later Sunday Night.  

Stick with Cheatham County Weather for the latest on the Winter Weather for Tomorrow.  Like us on Facebook or follow us on Twitter @CheathmSevereWx.

Forecaster:  Tyler Binkley