The current temperature across the county is 59 with winds out of the south at 20 mph with gusts up to 29 mph. The current visible satellite shows mostly sunny skies with clouds off to the west associated with the front that will be moving through later. An upper level ridge axis stretches from west Tennessee up into Ontario with an upper level trough axis stretching from Manitoba down into Kansas. Associated with the trough is lift and slight moisture is associated in the upper levels. There is warm air coming up out of the south with strong gusts at times which is why a Wind Advisory has been issued until midnight tonight. Surface cold front stretches from Iowa down to the panhandle of Texas over into New Mexico. The low is centered over Wisconsin and the surface high is on the east coast of north Carolina.
Visible Satellite valid for 10:30 A.M. on February 18, 2013. |
As the cold front pushes toward the area, it will have 700mb moisture streaming in from the Gulf of Mexico. There will be no severe weather associated with this system, only rain. The only concern is the winds ahead of the front could become gusty at times. According to the latest HRRR radar output, it has the rain moving into Cheatham at 7:00 P.M. and lasting throughout the night. The latest NAM has the rain moving out of the area at 3:00 A.M. The HPC has 0.50" of rain by the time this system moves out, however I feel that it will be less. The temperature tonight at midnight will be 50 with light rain in the area.
HRRR radar valid for 7:00 P.M. February 18, 2013. |
Wednesday: Mostly sunny skies with a high of 42 and a low of 23. Winds out of the northwest at 8 mph.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy skies with a high of 50, rain will move in that night. Chance of rain 80%. Low of 40.
Forecaster: Tyler Binkley
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